• nabla9 5 hours ago

    October 2023 there was similar incident where Chinese cargo ship cut Balticonnector cable and EE-S1 cable. Chip named 'Newnew Polar Bear' under Chinese flag and Chinese company Hainan Xin Xin Yang Shipping Co, Ltd. (aka Torgmoll) with CEO named Yelena V. Maksimova, drags anchor in the seabed cutting cables. Chinese investigation claims storm was the reason, but there was no storm, just normal windy autumn weather. The ship just lowered one anchor and dragged it with engines running long time across the seabed until the anchor broke.

    These things happen sometimes, ship anchors sometimes damage cables, but not this often and without serious problems in the ship. Russians are attempting plausible deniability.

    • cabirum 4 hours ago

      After the Nordstream pipeline attacked and destroyed, its reasonable to expect shortened lifetimes for undersea cables and sattelites.

    • spongebobstoes 5 hours ago

      What are some concrete reasons why someone would want to damage these cables? Who benefits?

      • flohofwoe 4 hours ago

        Assuming it was intentional, just trying the waters. Testing what the response is, who actually responds versus who's willing to sweep the incident under the carpet, how hard any response is and how quickly it happens, how much of the internet infrastructure is affected for how long, etc... etc... that's a lot of useful information as preparation for an actual attack.

        • viraptor an hour ago

          That's very similar to how the "accidental" flights over neighbouring territory works as far as I understand. This happens regularly between many countries. Just far enough to get some response, but not enough to get shot down immediately.

          • pantalaimon 37 minutes ago

            > but not enough to get shot down

            Doesn't always work

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Russian_Sukhoi_Su-24_shoo...

            • diggan 39 minutes ago

              > This happens regularly between many countries.

              I cannot find any lists (either in English or Swedish) but I remember Russia has been accidentally breaking into Swedish airspace like once a year for as long as I can remember. Submarines also sometimes "accidentally" end up close to Swedish shores.

              It'd be interesting to see some total numbers, and compare other countries with how often it happens between Sweden/Russia.

            • eric-hu 2 hours ago

              This is really interesting how you’ve explained it.

              In many professional fights the competitors start matches with light, quick jabs to probe their opponents defense.

              This feels just like that now that you put it this way. I never connected those dots though.

              • diggan 2 hours ago

                Maybe it's because I'm Swedish and we've experienced Russia's "probing defenses" tactic for a very long time (mainly "breaking" into Swedish airspace with airplanes, and discovering submarines at the Swedish shores), but I always thought this was common knowledge, always interesting to learn it isn't for everyone :)

                • lifestyleguru an hour ago

                  The situation escalated beyond probing, this is tit for tat response for Ukraine getting and launching US tactical missiles. Russia seems to be now aggressively monitoring and raiding the submarine pipes and cables. Blowing up of Nord Stream made Russia go ballistic.

                  • diggan an hour ago

                    > The situation escalated beyond probing

                    Not sure we understand "probing" differently. Russian currently is at the edges, testing the responses from things like cutting cables and otherwise interfering with the infrastructure. This is what "probing" means for me. "Beyond probing" would be actually launching attacks one way or another, which we haven't seen yet (except of course, for the Ukraine invasion).

                    • llamaimperative 44 minutes ago

                      No, decades of rampant kleptocracy and alcoholism made Russia go ballistic

              • krisbolton 2 hours ago

                While not directly addressing undersea cable sabotage this is a comprehensive open access article with case studies on 'hybrid warfare' which provides context to these types of actions. 'Shadows of power beneath the threshold: where covert action, organized crime and irregular warfare converge' - https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02684527.2024.2...

                • aguaviva 15 minutes ago

                  Tit-for-tat response to the NS2 bombing.

                  Assuming it bears out that the Russian state is the perpetrator.

                  • benterix 2 hours ago

                    The ship was sailing from Russia and the captain is Russian. Using a Chinese ship is a good trick from Putin.

                    As for the core of your question: there is no benefit, it's just his mentality. "The West" supports Ukraine so let's just do some harm, retaliate in some way. Burn some buildings here and there, plants some inflammable materials on airplanes etc. Pointless for you and me, meaningful for that guy.

                    • viraptor an hour ago

                      Does "Chinese ship" really mean anything here? As far as I understand the ship official registration is a very vague concept https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_of_convenience

                      • emmelaich 13 minutes ago

                        and according this tweet https://x.com/erikkannike/status/1858883945607094541/history

                        "So - according to Russian federal port records, the Chinese ship suspected of cutting the communications cables in the Baltic Sea was captained by a Russian citizen (one Stechentsev A.E.). Interestingly Yui Peng 3 was only transferred to its current owner in China earlier this month.

                        The ship is carrying goods/oil from Ust-Luga in Russia, to Port Said in Egypt. Same captain also comandeered URSUS ARCTOS also carrying goods from Ust-Luga to Egypt. Mapped using @SensusQ . "

                    • threeseed 4 hours ago

                      When Trump becomes President next year he is expected to demand that Ukraine settle the war with Russia or risk losing US aid and military support. It is why Russia is throwing everything at re-taking Kursk and US is now allowing long range strikes.

                      If the EU decides to join the US the war is over and Russia will keep the occupied lands. If the EU decides to support Ukraine then because of the devastating sanctions there is a strong chance Russia loses.

                      So it's in Russia's interest to make life as difficult as possible for Europe over the coming months in order to convince them that ending the war is in their best interest.

                      • diggan 2 hours ago

                        > If the EU decides to join the US the war is over and Russia will keep the occupied lands.

                        As a European, I'd say there is just about 0 chance of the EU unilaterally supporting Russian taken any occupied areas to themselves and Ukraine surrendering. Not only would it signal to Russia that they can take European land without consequences, but public opinion is very much against any sort of cessation of defenses. In my ~30 years I've never seen as strong NATO support from the common man in countries like Sweden and Spain as there is today.

                        • thaklea 5 minutes ago

                          Public opinion is against further weapons shipments to Ukraine:

                          https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1454716/umfra...

                          51% are against further shipments, 38% are in favor of further shipments, 11% are undecided.

                          In Ukraine, 52% want to negotiate as soon as possible. Interestingly, also 38% want to continue:

                          https://news.gallup.com/poll/653495/half-ukrainians-quick-ne...

                          • bananapub an hour ago

                            > As a European, I'd say there is just about 0 chance of the EU unilaterally supporting Russian taken any occupied areas to themselves

                            I agree, but it's not about accepting or saying it's a good idea, it's about whether European countries can replace the US support enough that Ukraine can reasonably keep defending themselves.

                            • diggan an hour ago

                              I don't know if EU would be able to match the current support the US gives to Ukraine (maybe it already does? Or maybe it exceeds? I don't know either way) but what I'm sure off is that Europe won't stop trying even if it wouldn't be enough.

                              • adriand 39 minutes ago

                                If you add up all the aid from the US and compare it to aid from the EU plus European nations, I think the share of contributions is roughly equal. But if that’s right (and I did the math in my head while scrolling a huge spreadsheet on my phone), then the loss of support from the US is significant. The US ability to produce armaments is also unparalleled in the West, so a loss of that supply is also a huge issue. Then you have the loss of the US as a military backer which may free Putin to be more aggressive - dirty bombs, tactical nukes, blowing up a nuclear reactor, assassinating Ukrainian leadership, who knows what. It’s a huge problem for Ukraine if they lose the US. But will they? It’s hard to know for certain.

                                • diggan 37 minutes ago

                                  Thanks a lot for doing that, even thought kind of ad-hoc :) Some data for guesses is better than none!

                                  I'm guessing that if US pulls their support, EU will try to add as much to cover up for it as humanly possible, as most compatriots see Ukraine as the frontline of something that can grow much, much bigger which because of remembering history, we'd obviously like to avoid.

                                • sabbaticaldev an hour ago

                                  how sure are you? I think the economic struggles + losing US support would make every incumbent leader lose their jobs until UE is full of Trump supporters

                                  • diggan an hour ago

                                    Fairly confident, at least for the countries I frequent and have friends in. As an example, public opinion of NATO in Sweden was really negative up until ~2013 (Crimea occupation) where it kind of was equally positive/negative and then fast forward to today where it's at 64% positive. https://www.gu.se/en/news/opinion-on-nato-record-shift-betwe...

                                    Being a Swede myself, and knowing how apathetic Swedish people are about basically anything, something having that large of support is pretty uncommon and signal a strong will to make NATO and EU defenses stronger, if anything.

                                    Even people I know who been historically anti-"anything military" in the country have quickly turned into "We need to defend our Nordic brothers and sisters against the Russians" which kind of took me by surprise.

                                    > UE is full of Trump supporters

                                    That won't ever happen. Even right-wingers (Europe right, not US right) are laughing at Trump and the Republicans.

                            • ssijak 2 hours ago

                              "If the EU decides to support Ukraine then because of the devastating sanctions there is a strong chance Russia loses."

                              How did that not work then yet?

                              • justin66 an hour ago

                                They question you're really asking is "why is the war taking so long?"

                                Because it's a war.

                                • sabbaticaldev an hour ago

                                  look, if someone looks like they are losing a war in the beginning, middle and the end act of it, I wouldn’t have much faith that extending it is the best solution to finally win.

                                  • llamaimperative 41 minutes ago

                                    Tautological

                                    The Nazis were mopping the floor with Europe until they weren’t. The Japanese were conquering Asia until they weren’t.

                                    • lukan 31 minutes ago

                                      But obligatory reminder, that back then there were no nukes. So it is not exactly the same situation.

                              • chinathrow 2 hours ago

                                It would be so nice to not be dragged into this war by the aggressor. Russia is playing a very stupid game here.

                                • mschuster91 2 hours ago

                                  > Russia is playing a very stupid game here.

                                  They are not, if you take the larger context into account - and that is China and their saber rattling not just against Taiwan but also against everyone else in what China thinks is "their" influence sphere such as the Philippines.

                                  Russia's warmongering (not just in Ukraine, but also via Syria, Iran and Yemen!) is breaking apart both the US and EU internally - recent elections have shown that both populations are pretty much fed up with the wars and their consequences, and once enough countries either fall to Putin's 5th column outright or their governments pull a Chamberlain, China can be relatively certain no one will intervene too much when they decide that now is the best time to annex other countries.

                                  • justin66 43 minutes ago

                                    I wonder if anyone thinks this seems likely:

                                    American Secretary of Defense: "Mr. President, the Chinese just destroyed our Naval base in the Philippines, killing hundreds of US servicemen. As part of a plan to annex the country or something."

                                    American president: "Let's not intervene too much."

                                    • mschuster91 27 minutes ago

                                      I don't think the Chinese will attack US infrastructure or vessels directly, they are not that stupid - but they did attack Philippine ships in what is widely recognized Philippine territory [1] or fish illegally in Philippine territory [2].

                                      The only response the entire West was able to give in years of Chinese transgressions were strong words, about as effective as "thoughts and prayers". China is a bully that escalates continuously (similar to Russia's behavior in Syria with the countless "red lines" that were crossed, eventually including chemical weapons) and needs to be brought to its knees before they one day trigger WW3 by accident.

                                      [1] https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/chinese-coast-gua...

                                      [2] https://maritime-executive.com/article/philippine-official-a...

                                    • throwawaymaths an hour ago

                                      Well the result of China's 5d chess has been to install a leader in the US that is likely to escalate a trade war with china when with an impending demographic crisis they most need someone to stop the trade war. Sheer genius!

                                      • llamaimperative 40 minutes ago

                                        The world will be looking to China as a stable partner while the US voluntarily dismantles its economy and very possibly its political system.

                                        So yeah, the US absolutely got outplayed here.

                                        • mschuster91 an hour ago

                                          The problem with dictators of all kinds is that their personal concerns (say, appearing before the local populace as "the one who re-unified China") can and will trump over what makes sense for the country long-term.

                                          Of course that can and does also happen in democracies, but at least most reasonable democracies have some sort of "checks and balances" that at least prevents open war from breaking out.

                                        • chinathrow 2 hours ago

                                          Sure, but I am commenting from a non-military, non-geopolitics, non-strategy related background: It's a stupid game. Stupid in the sense of: I don't like it, I don't want to play it, thus it's stupid.

                                      • jacknews 2 hours ago

                                        Plausible.

                                        But alternatively, it is the outgoing Biden administration that do not want a freeze, and are escalating their involvement in the war, by giving permission to use their long-range missiles to attack inside Russia, in order to derail any potential 'agreement'.

                                        And they are now sewing the press with 'hybrid war' mania. I see news sites are now plastered with fearmongering stories about embassies being closed in Kyiv, that Ukraine front might collapse without aid, and so on and on. Note that none of it is actual Russian attacks or any actual events, just fear of them. It looks very much like a media campaign to me.

                                        edit: oh dear, a few people on HN really do not like this take, without offering any take-down, which just makes me think there's probably something to it.

                                        • ethbr1 2 hours ago

                                          Russia has been striking civilian targets throughout Ukraine with ballistic missiles since the beginning of the war.

                                          How is allowing Ukraine to use ATACMS on military targets in Russia an escalation?

                                          • jacknews 2 hours ago

                                            That's beside the point.

                                            It is a very clear escalation in US/European involvement. Ukraine were prohibited from using long-range western weapons to attack targets inside Russia up until now.

                                            I'm not saying if it's right or wrong.

                                            But it's a very clear escalation in western 'participation'. Russia have for a long time been saying that such action would be tantamount to a NATO attack, and so everyone involved surely understands that this is an escalation in the NATO-Russia face-off.

                                            • ceejayoz an hour ago

                                              > Russia have for a long time been saying that such action would be tantamount to a NATO attack

                                              They say this every time. When Obama sent non-lethal aid, they used the same line.

                                              • jacknews an hour ago

                                                none-the-less, it is a clear escalation ON THE INVOLVEMENT OF EUROPE AND THE US in the war.

                                                It is not that Ukraine are escalating the war by using long-range missiles. Of course Russia have been using them all along.

                                                But it is a clear escalation in western 'participation' in the war.

                                                • soco 43 minutes ago

                                                  So "finally replying to constant attacks" gets redefined by putin as escalation, no surprise here. Or is there any other argument I'm missing?

                                              • mapt an hour ago

                                                That is a very particular use of the term 'escalation' which is bound to mislead people.

                                                Normally, if we show up at the flagpole at noon to confront each other, and you throw a punch, you have escalated things to a fistfight, and then my return punch is not an escalation. If I pull a knife, I have escalated things to a knife fight. We escalate from fist to knife to gun. Reciprocation - self defense - does not count.

                                                The only way to torture the term into contextual use is to suggest that Russia is not firing rockets at NATO because Ukraine is not NATO, but NATO is firing rockets at Russia because all these missile systems are not Ukrainian, but NATO. This is Putin's framing, and it incorporates the idea that the missile systems are actually being manned but US & EU soldiers.

                                                If you are not adopting that frame, "escalation" only really works if you explicitly define the context as a Great Powers proxy war with a potential nuclear endpoint, where Ukraine is stipulated for the sake of argument to have no agency.

                                                • sabbaticaldev 31 minutes ago

                                                  Right. URSS putting nuclear missiles in Cuba was not an escalation then.

                                                  • throwaway2037 3 minutes ago

                                                    I only learned about this a few years ago. Before the Cuban Missile Crisis (where Russia installed nuclear missiles in Cuba), the US installed nukes in Italy and Turkey. This made USSR very upset. Plus, the US was heavily meddling in Cuban domestic affairs. The first two paragraphs are very instructive here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuban_Missile_Crisis

                                                    My point: I think USSR (and Cuba) had a good reason to install those missiles. It wasn't an unprovoked action.

                                            • Symbiote an hour ago

                                              The USA, UK and France approving the use of the long-range missiles was described as a response to Russia using North Korean soldiers.

                                              • sabbaticaldev 40 minutes ago

                                                > edit: oh dear, a few people on HN really do not like this take, without offering any take-down, which just makes me think there's probably something to it.

                                                nobody likes to lose a war and the side they cheer for is losing so downvote is the tool available to vent the frustration

                                                • preisschild an hour ago

                                                  > are escalating the war (they started, with the long-range missiles),

                                                  Wrong. Using long range missiles is not an escalation. Russia has been using them against Ukrainian lands for years now. Why shouldn't Ukraine be allowed to use them against Russian land?

                                                  • jacknews an hour ago

                                                    No, you are wrong.

                                                    Russia are at war with Ukraine, so they are bombing them. Ukraine have every right to reply with their own long range weapons too, and that would indeed not be an escalation in the fighting itself.

                                                    But, the west clearly prohibited the use of their donated long range weapons in direct attacks on Russia, in order to limit their liability, responsibility, 'participation' or whatever, until now.

                                                    Russia have been very clear that such permission would constitute an escalation OF WESTERN 'PARTICIPATION' in the war, and even be tantamount to a direct NATO attack, and so it is at least an escalation.

                                                    Whether it is right or wrong is not the point, it is a clear change in the depth of western involvement.

                                                • paganel 4 hours ago

                                                  Russia will not stop taking its land in Kursk back because the Americans tell them to do so, this is just Western delusion, and, as I've said before on this forum, a complete misunderstanding coming from the Westerners on how Russia operates.

                                                  > devastating sanctions

                                                  Devastating for Europe, you mean.

                                                  • suraci 2 hours ago

                                                    I'm very curious, can any European here, or perhaps a German for specificity, tell me whether they believe these sanctions have harmed Russia more than Europe?

                                                    Also it would be better if any Russians here could answer a similar question

                                                    • brazzy an hour ago

                                                      German here. Yes, it seems pretty obvious these sanctions have harmed Russia more than Europe.

                                                      Russia: inflation around 8-9%.

                                                      EU: inflation around 2%.

                                                      • suraci 22 minutes ago

                                                        Thank you for the information. I believe that only those who are there can truly describe the situation there, beyond what I read in the media

                                                        Recently, a professor I know wrote an article about his impressions of Russia and Germany when he attended meetings in both countries.

                                                        Can you help to check what he said?

                                                        > Macroeconomic data indicates that the European economy is not doing well, but the economic conditions I experienced during my days in Berlin could be described as depression. What surprised me the most was that there were not many people or cars on the streets of Berlin during the daytime on weekdays. Berlin in early October is not yet cold, but the desolate feeling on the streets does not match the image of the capital of Europe's largest economy. Europe's inflation, which started later than in the United States, has also clearly hurt the lives of the people, which was my perception from conversations with taxi drivers during my rides.

                                                        • suraci 11 minutes ago

                                                          Also, here's the sections about Russia, hope any locals can help to check this

                                                          > (In Vladivostok) War typically leads to a rise in prices. Several Russian sources have reported that compared to two and a half years ago, current prices have roughly doubled, and housing prices have also increased significantly. However, it is somewhat comforting that the wages of most people have also increased proportionally, so people's lives have not been greatly affected so far. The supply of goods on the market is still quite abundant. Due to financial sanctions from the US and Europe, as well as multinational corporations, many brands' products and services are no longer available in the Russian market. Nevertheless, this does not prevent Russian citizens from drinking cola or eating American fast food. It is said that these brands have localized, but the products remain essentially unchanged: for example, the taste of Russian cola is not significantly different from Coca-Cola, as they can purchase the concentrate from third countries and mix it themselves.

                                                          > The official unemployment rate published by Russia is only 2%, and I believe this data is likely accurate. The reasons are not only because the war itself requires the hiring of a large number of young people, but also due to the wealth redistribution, increased consumption, and robust production that the war has brought about. Russia is a country with severe wealth disparity, where the lower classes traditionally lack money for consumption. This war has provided an opportunity for lower-income families to obtain cash flow: by sending their sons or husbands to the battlefield, families can receive a one-time subsidy of nearly 500,000 yuan. Even prisoners in jail can receive this benefit. This sum of money, equivalent to targeted transfer payments and proactive fiscal policies aimed at the poor, has given lower- and middle-income families a chance to gamble their lives for money. This has led to cases where some people join the military to escape punishment and receive subsidies, serve for a year, return home, and then reoffend and go to jail again, relying on a second enlistment to escape punishment and receive another subsidy.

                                                          > The increased cash flow among the lower-income population has led to a surge in consumer demand, and the robust production of military goods has also stimulated employment, income, and consumption. While the products of military industry are indeed consumed on the battlefield, for the macroeconomy, what matters is the flow rather than the stock; production and consumption are meaningful in themselves. As for whether the produced goods are expended as shells and missiles on the battlefield or become paper wealth on the other side of the ocean as export commodities, there is no fundamental difference for the current macroeconomic operation.

                                                          There are rumors circulating on Chinese self-media about how much the ruble has depreciated on the black market in Russia. I specifically went to restaurants and other consumer venues in Vladivostok to test for any significant difference between the official and black market exchange rates by using US dollars and Chinese yuan for payment. However, neither Russian-run nor Chinese-run restaurants offered discounts for payment in US dollars or Chinese yuan cash. This phenomenon is usually sufficient to debunk rumors about the Russian ruble black market.

                                                          The current social mood in Russia is relatively stable, which may be due not only to a decent economic foundation but also to strict control over public opinion. According to our research feedback, even in private settings, if colleagues or neighbors make remarks against Putin or the war, and are reported, those who oppose the war or Putin may face legal troubles.

                                                        • EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK an hour ago

                                                          That's not a result of sanction, simply Russia spends 40% of its budget on the war, and Europe spends nothing.

                                                        • EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK an hour ago

                                                          These consumer side sanctions are idiotic. When a Russian buys a European beer, he spends money which goes from Russia to Europe, and in addition he damages his health.

                                                          On the other side, Europe buys billions of dollars of oil and gas from Russia. That money goes in the opposite direction, from Europe to Russia, and is used toward soldier salaries, Iran drones and North Korean mercenaries.

                                                      • raverbashing 3 hours ago

                                                        Neither will Ukraine try to take their territory back as much as sycophants and dictator-appeasers think Ukraine have no agency

                                                    • lifestyleguru 2 hours ago

                                                      This is basically Russian retaliation for US providing Ukraine with ATACMS and first Ukrainian attack using ATACMS.

                                                      • Mistletoe 5 hours ago

                                                        It doesn’t even really stop anything right? Communications just have to route around it and use other cables and satellites. It just seems like Russia wants to be annoying.

                                                        • Hamuko 5 hours ago

                                                          Destroying the gas pipeline between Estonia and Finland did take it out for like six months. I think it may have had some negative impact on Estonian electricity prices during that time.

                                                      • yett 5 hours ago

                                                        Yeah and this time they won't let them get away. According to Finnish Minister of Defence: "The authorities in the Baltic Sea region have learned from the mistakes of the Baltic Connector investigation and are prepared, if necessary, to stop a ship in the Baltic Sea if it is suspected of being involved in damaging communications cables."[1]

                                                        And it looks like according to marinetraffic.com that the Yi Peng 3 is indeed at full stop surrounded by at least 3 Danish navy vessels.

                                                        1. article in Finnish https://www.hs.fi/politiikka/art-2000010845324.html

                                                      • brazzy 5 hours ago

                                                        So according to the Bluesky thread, the ship was captained by a Russian citizen. One has to wonder whether this was done with the approval of the Chinese government, or whether the ship was just chosen by opportunity (which seems possible given that China is the second most common merchant flag). Or whether implicating China was even an explicit goal.

                                                        • netsharc 4 hours ago

                                                          For an analogy, it seems like a scrappy preteen throwing around his big brother's name, knowing that if he gets into trouble, big brother will intervene...

                                                          (i.e. the European countries might be more wary about boarding a Chinese ship compared to a Russian ship, because escalating against China is scarier...).

                                                          • _djo_ 3 hours ago

                                                            Indeed. The best way to understand Russia's approach to foreign policy is that it's an extension of its mafia state-derived domestic policy, where there are no true allies and anyone brought into the circle is tainted through compromising actions to ensure they stay loyal to you.

                                                            It's not dissimilar to the way criminal gangs will ensure that they have dirt on anyone joining or intentionally implicate others in order to ensure compliance.

                                                          • graemep 2 hours ago

                                                            I think China stands to gain from escalation of the war so its possible they approved. It makes Russia weaker and more dependant on them, distracts the US from the Pacific, and weakens Europe in many ways.

                                                            Similar to both Russia and China gaining from war and disruption in the Middle East.

                                                            There are many possibilities here.

                                                            • whizzter 4 hours ago

                                                              Russian captain, how does the ownership history of the ship look? Could be some sanction evading ship that was owned by Russian interests anyhow.

                                                              • pantalaimon 30 minutes ago

                                                                It was a Russian ship until a month ago

                                                              • mytailorisrich 2 hours ago

                                                                China did not want the war in Ukraine, which has created serious problems for them including for Belt and Road. So behing closed doors China must be passed off but Russia is important to them and they can't let them collapse.

                                                                Of course Putin knows this hence him somewhat taking the p.

                                                              • aurareturn 5 hours ago

                                                                Given that ships often cut undersea internet cables and China has the biggest export economy, doesn't it make sense that the most likely country to accidentally cut an internet cable would be a Chinese trade ship?

                                                                On average, it seems like undersea internet cables break 200+ times per year. For example, Vietnam's internet cables break on average 10 times per year.

                                                                What would be the motivation for a Chinese trade ship to deliberately cut an internet cable? It has next to no impact on internet communication and only serves to annoy a small amount of people for a short period of time. In addition, China and Europe are trying to have a better relationship in general so it doesn't make sense for the Chinese government to order this.

                                                                • brazzy an hour ago

                                                                  I could believe that cutting one cable was an accident. But two, by the same ship, 60 miles apart?

                                                                  Absolutely no way this wasn't intentional.

                                                                  • rixrax 3 hours ago

                                                                    At the Baltic Sea the cables and such break mostly because of one reason only: russia. [0]

                                                                    [0] https://www.csce.gov/briefings/russias-genocide-in-ukraine/

                                                                    • raverbashing 4 hours ago

                                                                      > What would be the motivation for a Chinese trade ship to deliberately cut an internet cable?

                                                                      The most charitable reason is that they don't give a fluck. Same reason why their rocket boosters just fall wherever they fall, population center or not

                                                                      Edit: https://x.com/Tendar/status/1859147985424196010

                                                                      > The skipper of the Chinese ship is a Russian national and the route leads from Ust-Luga (Russia) to Port Said (Egypt).

                                                                      • aurareturn 4 hours ago

                                                                        Is there any data on which country's ships cut the most internet cables?

                                                                        I think we need a total ships sailing for country / cuts.

                                                                        • miningape 3 hours ago

                                                                          This would be an interesting project for someone to work on, I wonder if there's a place where all the internet cable outages + reasons are available?

                                                                      • Hamuko 4 hours ago

                                                                        >What would be the motivation for a Chinese trade ship to deliberately cut an internet cable?

                                                                        Money. Russia is reportedly bribing people into doing sabotage in western nations.

                                                                        There's also reports that Yi Peng 3 is captained by a Russian national, which would also be another reason for a Chinese trade ship to conduct sabotage operations beneficial to Russia.

                                                                    • threeseed 5 hours ago

                                                                      And 4 days ago a Russian spy ship was escorted out of Irish waters:

                                                                      https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/16/russian-spy-sh...

                                                                      So definitely seems like a coordinated attempt to destabilise Europe ahead of anticipated peace talks early next year.

                                                                      • pcardoso 4 hours ago
                                                                        • soco 39 minutes ago

                                                                          "Russian mission installs more ‘spy’ antennas in Geneva, Swiss TV report claims" https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/russian-mission...

                                                                          • jacknews 2 hours ago

                                                                            So how long ago were US long-range missiles used to attack Russia?

                                                                            Because that's what seems to be claimed here, that Russia are retaliating for that.

                                                                            How long does it take a ship to travel to a 'suspicious' site like this?

                                                                            versus, how long does it take to intercept the nearest Russian ship, and escort it away as a spy ship and 'potential saboteur'?

                                                                          • 01100011 5 hours ago

                                                                            Title could be a lot more descriptive. Your average reader might scroll on by because that title makes no sense without context.

                                                                            • usr1106 2 hours ago

                                                                              Looks suspicious, but there were 4 vessels in the area whose transponder signal was lost by public trackers during that night.

                                                                              It has also been pointed out that this is a location with lively traffic. So if it turns out that is was an anchor (as in the New New Polar Bear case) that's extra suspicious because anchoring in such location is not normal. On the other hand if it were explosives like in the Nord Stream case, they could have been applied also weeks before.

                                                                              • a1o 5 hours ago

                                                                                C-Lion -> Sea Lion, but not the IDE from JetBrains.

                                                                                • trhway 3 hours ago

                                                                                  >Last ports: Murmansk - Port Said - Luga Bay (never docked, Ust-Luga, Russia)

                                                                                  All the way to Luga and decided to not dock. Large cargo ship pleasure wandering the sea like a yacht.

                                                                                  • nik_alberta 5 hours ago

                                                                                    YI PENG 3 (IMO: 9224984) is a Bulk Carrier and is sailing under the flag of China. Her length overall (LOA) is 225 meters and her width is 32.3 meters. Source: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:21...

                                                                                    • Hamuko 5 hours ago

                                                                                      Yi Peng 3 has been stopped in the Kattegat with Danish navy ships around it for about 11 hours now. Currently HDMS Søløven is anchored right next to it. HDMS Hvidbjørnen was also not too far away before its signal went dark.

                                                                                      • halblalaa 5 hours ago

                                                                                        Meanwhile:

                                                                                        The EU will press Beijing for answers over reports that a China-based company is producing military drones for use in Russia's war against Ukraine, https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-china-drone-production-ru...

                                                                                        Zelenskyy says North Korea may send 100k troops to Ukraine https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/19/zelenskyy-nort...

                                                                                        Germany warns China against supplying drones to Russia for Ukraine https://www.yahoo.com/news/germany-warns-china-against-suppl...

                                                                                        EU-China trade war reshapes solar and EV landscape https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20241113PD206/eu-solar-war-p...

                                                                                        • HelloNurse 4 hours ago

                                                                                          Crowdsourced military intelligence offers some hope for the future.

                                                                                          • sedan_baklazhan 3 hours ago

                                                                                            So Two Minutes Of Hate towards Russia is over in this aspect? Very Orwellish.

                                                                                            • myrmidon 2 hours ago

                                                                                              What are you even talking about? Are you suggesting that "the West" has a too negative public opinion of Russia or China?

                                                                                              I would argue that interactions/treatment specifically toward Russia, especially by European nations in the last 20 years, was actually too positive and naive-- specifically because unlike Europe, Russia definitely did not leave its imperialistic ambitions behind, and treating/trading with it as a friendly somewhat flawed democracy during those years might have done more harm than good in hindsight.

                                                                                              I'm curious how you think about this?

                                                                                              • sedan_baklazhan 2 hours ago

                                                                                                Just yesterday on the front page there was a topic largely consisting of accusations of Russia breaking these cables. Now I see a sudden switch of the "criminal" and a possible start of a new 2-minute of Hate. It's very Orwellish indeed.

                                                                                                • preisschild an hour ago

                                                                                                  Did you even read the thread? It was captained by a Russian, and CN is a Russian ally.

                                                                                                  The Kremlin may very well be behind this.

                                                                                                  • sedan_baklazhan 39 minutes ago

                                                                                                    Wow

                                                                                            • dfadsadsf 4 hours ago

                                                                                              It could be false flag operation to create pretext for NATO/EU to block shipping to Russian ports in Baltic Sea.

                                                                                              Similar to Nordstream destruction in 2022 it could have been either Ukrainians or CIA/NSA. This could be last attempt by current US administration elements to create leverage for the Ukraine before negotiations start.

                                                                                              • mnky9800n 3 hours ago

                                                                                                what possible reason would nato need to blockade russian ports that doesnt already exist?

                                                                                                • maxglute 3 hours ago

                                                                                                  Blockade is legal act of war. RU at war with UKR, not NATO, and vice versa. Hence NATO would need casus belli of RU attacking NATO or NATO owned infra to declare blockade (read: declare war on RU).

                                                                                                  • preisschild an hour ago

                                                                                                    Russia is already assassinating and sabotaging in NATO countries, which are legal acts of war too.