« BackTime travel is self-suppressingarxiv.orgSubmitted by warrenm 4 hours ago
  • VincentEvans 3 hours ago

    Maybe they are all mostly dead and ever-more-feral survivors ridden by the crippling radiation- and pollution-borne genetic sicknesses are birthing still-born and slowly dying out while picking through the debris left from the civilizational collapse caused by global warming, ai, and the resulting world wars.

    And the last stronghold of civilization are genetically superior, warlike, numerous, but illiterate Tate descendants hidden in the mountains of Romania, unable to build anything more advanced than a cudgel used in the rituals to determine the alpha leader.

    • bugbuddy 2 hours ago

      Most time travel theories ignore the fact that the earth is not fixed in space. It is moving relative to the sun in the solar system and the solar system is moving relative to the center of the galaxy, and the galaxy is… etc. A motion in each of these systems is not 100% accurately predictable forward or backward in time.

      This fact alone means that any time traveler is most likely to arrive in the middle of empty space.

      • idle_zealot an hour ago

        > Most time travel theories ignore the fact that the earth is not fixed in space

        This is a misconception that bugs me. The problem isn't that the Earth isn't fixed in space, it's that there's no such thing as a fixed point in space. Position is only defined relative to other objects. If you're going to use time travel in a story or something then it has to use something like an anchor object to determine destination. I.e. the relative location of the traveler and the anchor is replicated from the future to the past.

        • mark-r 20 minutes ago

          Even if you could magically arrive at the right point, how would you get the right momentum? If the Earth were standing completely still, it would still be spinning at a horrendous speed.

          • bugbuddy an hour ago

            We would assume that the time-space traveler would have to tell the machine both the time and space directions from their current position in time and space. Assuming the time-space traveler cannot stop to observe his or her “location” in time-space coordinate along the way in small increments, he would have to calculate the entire travel trajectory beforehand.

            I am saying this trajectory calculation relative to current coordinates is impossible. Even modern satellites with super precise instruments still need regular ongoing “adjustments.” Time travel requires many order of magnitude more precision than satellite orbital maintenance.

            • do_not_redeem 39 minutes ago

              Go backwards in time 15 minutes at a time. At this short distance your calculation error will be small, and you can land your hovercraft back on earth to correct for any drift. Then go backwards another 15 minutes, repeat ad infinitum. Even present day aircraft have autopilot, so surely this can be automated too.

            • zamadatix an hour ago

              Relativity just says "nothing about space seems to require a preferred reference frame", not "such a thing as a preferred reference frame can't possibly exist". If we're allowing for the discovery of time travel in the story, I'm willing to allow for such a discovery as well.

              In reality I'd bet neither are realistic, but that's what makes the stories interesting.

            • _factor 25 minutes ago

              It’s even crazier if you imagine that whole universe might be countless universe lengths away from its starting point every microsecond for all we know. Acceleration is the only thing we feel.

              You’re very likely to travel into an undefined void even if you map out and calibrate the whole system.

              • gmane an hour ago

                I'll give a half-baked counter to this: we know gravity impacts the flow of time through relativity. There is currently no evidence that time travel wouldn't be impacted by gravity in some way. Maybe the way time in time travel interacts with gravity protects you from this problem? Probably not, but it has just as much evidence to support it as your claim of time travel will dump you in empty space.

                • throwaway173738 an hour ago

                  You’re positing some unknown influence will cause everything to work out well in the ends without any evidentiary basis. Occam’s Razor suggests that you’re more likely to be wrong than parent.

                  Of course the idea that your point of origin must be fixed from time A to time Z if you’re willing to allow for time travel is itself flawed. If you could somehow move an object to an arbitrary time you could move them to an arbitrary point in space, and your ability to calculate may be significantly greater on the grounds that you’d have more advanced technology than us. It’s all scifi woo though until someone actually time travels.

                  • gmane 42 minutes ago

                    I disagree with this interpretation of what I said. We HAVE evidence that time and gravity interact. It's actually more of a violation of Occam's Razor to suggest that time travel is somehow exempt from that interaction than to claim that yes, time travel should in someway be subject to the influence of gravity.

              • fyrn_ an hour ago

                1. Genetically superior 2. Tate Descendents

                Pick One.

                • VincentEvans an hour ago

                  Tall, powerful, beautifully bald, multitudinous and decease resistant!

                • dingnuts an hour ago

                  Why are you giving Tate free advertising on a completely unrelated post? Just saying that asshole's name risks exposing more people to him.

                  Streisand Effect, people. If you hate someone and want them to go away you have to completely stop mentioning them online.

                  • tempestn an hour ago

                    Seems to me your comment has more of a Streisand Effect quality than the one you're replying to.

                    • cindyllm an hour ago

                      [dead]

                  • Arcorann 2 hours ago

                    The conclusion is basically (Larry) Niven's Law of Time Travel. From "The Theory and Practice of Time Travel" (1971):

                    > If the universe of discourse permits the possibility of time travel and of changing the past, then no time machine will be invented in that universe.

                    The entire essay is worth a read, of course. Meanwhile the paper in the OP goes for a more mathematical approach.

                    • gchamonlive 2 hours ago

                      Maybe you can only create rifts, and you need to create one before travelling back and forth. So only time travelling after the first time travel rift has been opened. Otherwise it'd break continuity.

                      EDIT: If you created such rift and nobody would come out, then you'd have to start worrying.

                      • hashworks an hour ago

                        Wouldn't such a gate imply that an unlimited amount of entities would arrive at the time of the gate?

                        • selcuka an hour ago

                          Doesn't any scenario of time travel imply an unlimited amount of entities?

                          If you go back in time to observe (but not interfere with) your younger self, your younger self will get old and go back to that exact time too. So there will be an infinite number of your old selves observing your younger self.

                          Not to mention that travelling back also means adding matter to the universe.

                      • Hatrix 3 hours ago

                        Future people will have a Holodeck to simulate the past. No reason to actually go there.

                        • JALTU 2 hours ago

                          Or Hollywood!

                          • modzu 3 hours ago

                            is it real? of course not. expensive? very.

                          • PaulHoule 4 hours ago

                            Makes me think of this Asimov classic where you really can change the past

                            https://archive.org/details/dli.ernet.526852/mode/2up

                            where it makes sense because people established an orthogonal dimension of time and this movie

                            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predestination_(film)

                            based on another Heinlein classic

                            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%27%E2%80%94All_You_Zombies%E2...

                            where you can't because it's all just a knot.

                            • cindyllm 3 hours ago

                              [dead]

                            • Workaccount2 2 hours ago

                              I'm partial to the idea that time travelers need a "gate" to arrive at, and until we have that, no traveling to the past. However the universe really likes avoiding being forced to compute a paradox, so it may well be many timelines.

                              • ryandvm an hour ago

                                Yeah, time travel probably isn't possible, but if it is, limiting the time traveler to only being able to go back to when the machine was invented at least solves the "why haven't we met a time traveler" problem.

                                • selcuka an hour ago

                                  It could also solve the "where will the extra atoms to instantiate a second copy of yourself come from?" problem if the machine uses some kind of filament to 3d-print the traveller.

                                • 01HNNWZ0MV43FF 2 hours ago

                                  I loved that about the film Tenet. It's very grounded compared to say Terminator (not that I don't like Terminator)

                                  • JKCalhoun 2 hours ago

                                    "Primer" is arguably the best time travel film made/written.

                                    • thedrexster an hour ago

                                      this!!

                                    • Melatonic 2 hours ago

                                      Same

                                      Dark Matter (the TV show) also does this very well (plus multiverses)

                                  • wyldfire an hour ago

                                    Time travel, like flight and invisibility, are a product humanity's imaginative nature: "What if I were not bound by the laws of the universe, what could I achieve?"

                                    It's great for fiction, because of so many creative ways that you can structure your rules-violating-universe.

                                    • rhengles 32 minutes ago

                                      Didn't we have flying birds before even the dinosaurs, let alone the Homo Sapiens ? So we had physical evidence that flight was possible.

                                    • Lerc 2 hours ago

                                      This is just the one model of time travel, isn't it? It's a bit weird how it uses the notion of rewriting to continue until there can be no rewriting. If there could never be any rewriting then you still permit the single universe model of time travel. Things can only ever happen the way they happen, if that was because of a time traveller, it always was. It permits the grandfather paradox, but I can't help but think that this papers argument could be reshod to say the the grandfather paradox is self-suppressing.

                                      • cogman10 an hour ago

                                        Could it be that time travel suffers from the dark forest problem?

                                        A hostile and aggressive alien species with time travel capabilities would naturally use it to go back in time and eliminate any evolved species that similarly discovers time travel.

                                        The energy required would definitely be enough to annihilate planets.

                                        • teeray 2 hours ago

                                          It’s also possible the time traveling civilization was killed off by boiling the oceans to plagiarize the entire creative output of humanity.

                                          • rossdavidh 2 hours ago

                                            Submitted by Andrew Jackson, presumably the President of the United States of the same name.

                                            • jt2190 2 hours ago

                                              Interesting:

                                              > Therefore, I conclude that, assuming my model, time travel is self-suppressing: the timeline is continually rewritten until it inevitably reaches a timeline with no time machines ever being constructed. At this point, no further changes to the timeline are possible.

                                              • retrocog 2 hours ago

                                                Perhaps time doesn't objectively exist in the way it is understood as a premise of the paper?

                                                • gnabgib 2 hours ago

                                                  Title: Where Are All The Tourists From 3025?

                                                  • jmward01 2 hours ago

                                                    I have always thought that time travel is a solution to the fermi paradox.

                                                    • Apocryphon 3 hours ago

                                                      Looking at the actual link itself, is this one of those papers that takes a thought experiment and tries to evaluate it using abstract mathematics/statistics? That's what it looks like it's doing. How is it actually useful to apply Markov chains to such unknowable suppositions? Is this analytical philosophy

                                                      • Finnucane 4 hours ago

                                                        they’ve all gone 4025, where the real party is.

                                                        • cwmoore an hour ago

                                                          After 1000 years of recovering from the consequences of going back to 3024.

                                                          • tocs3 4 hours ago

                                                            I was about to say: This is not the best time to visit right now. Mabey later.

                                                          • modzu 3 hours ago

                                                            time travel backwards is impossible. but there are undoubtedly time travelers from the past going forward in time

                                                            • lordofgibbons 3 hours ago

                                                              I've already been doing this for a while now ;)

                                                              • xlbuttplug2 40 minutes ago

                                                                Hope you remembered to get extra plutonium. It isn't available at every corner drugstore yet.

                                                              • daedrdev 2 hours ago

                                                                All you need is to go fast to travel forward in time

                                                              • atothayu 2 hours ago

                                                                be here now maxxi

                                                                • mrandish 2 hours ago

                                                                  I've always suspected the reason is this century is just incredibly boring and literally nothing notable or even remotely interesting happens.

                                                                  • lazide 2 hours ago

                                                                    Eh, plenty of things to steal.

                                                                    • mrandish an hour ago

                                                                      Nah, everyone knows all the good stuff was before 1850 and after 2225. We're living in the 'fly-over country' of history.