• Tade0 12 minutes ago

    Recently YouTube again started recommending to me channels of people who died of cancer.

    I looked at a clip of a man just a few years my senior where he was describing the symptoms that in his view should have made him go see a doctor earlier, because maybe then his pancreatic cancer wouldn't have been fatal.

    Truth be told they wouldn't raise any red flags if I had them.

    Only thing that I'm doing differently is having blood tests done on an annual basis, but those only show anything when e.g. the cancer has spread to the liver, which is typically too late anyway. It's an incredibly insidious disease, and if the tumor is growing on the wrong end of the organ, it won't give any symptoms whatsoever.

    • A_D_E_P_T 43 minutes ago

      > Clinical implications: While more research will be needed before trials in humans can begin

      Why? Seriously, think about it. Most people with pancreatic cancer have nothing to lose and many of them have just weeks or months to live.

      Daraxonrasib, Afatinib, and SD36 are molecules that can already be purchased in bulk, and what's the worst that can happen?

      Our society's morbid, irrational fear of quack medicine causes orders of magnitude more deaths through therapeutic neglect than it prevents through safety screening. "Better 10,000 die of cancer than 1 person die of fraud/waste/mismanagement or even in failed experiments performed in good faith."

      • snapcaster 36 minutes ago

        Yeah putting myself in the shoes of someone with this disease or a loved one with this disease I would be so incredibly angry that we weren't allowed to try something when the alternative is certain death

        • reg_dunlop 20 minutes ago

          It's the prisoner's dilemma. Or more succinctly:

          Take something and possibly live, or take nothing and certainly die.

          • bobbylarrybobby 16 minutes ago

            That's not what the prisoner’s dilemma is.

        • John23832 17 minutes ago

          There are already many "compassionate use" exceptions out there already. I've family friends be grated that. It helps the pharma company as well as the patient. I'm sure that will happen here.

          • phoronixrly 36 minutes ago

            Ethics is a topic I would never trust HN on.

          • ngriffiths 3 hours ago

            IN MICE. (To be fair, also IN SOME OTHER BETTER MICE).

            https://jamesheathers.medium.com/in-mice-explained-77b61b598...

            (mostly a joke, but I'd be in favor of adding context to the HN headline if possible)

            • apparent 3 hours ago

              This isn't quite as bad as the garden variety "in mice" studies:

              > The combination therapy also led to significant regression in genetically engineered mouse tumours and in human cancer tissues grown in lab mice, known as patient-derived tumour xenografts (PDX).

              • ramesh31 3 hours ago

                >"The combination therapy also led to significant regression in genetically engineered mouse tumours and in human cancer tissues grown in lab mice"

                Required XKCD: https://xkcd.com/1217/

                • apparent 3 hours ago

                  Is PDX considered to be illegitimate? Would be curious to know if prior studies that showed success with PDX methods ultimately resulted in useful therapeutics.

                  • tiahura 2 hours ago

                    Vorinostat

              • goda90 an hour ago

                I wonder how long until we'll start seeing these breakthrough cancer treatment articles for clinical trials done in dogs. Oncologists think dog research is a better fit than mice because of greater genetic similarities to humans and the fact that pet dogs live in similar environments as their owners. I think in general people definitely wouldn't be as ok with inducing cancer in dogs as in mice, but finding volunteers owners of dogs with existing cancer is certainly easier.

                • dillydogg 32 minutes ago

                  That's interesting because rodents and apes share a more recent common ancestor (75Mya) than dogs and apes (85 Mya).

                • davidhs 2 hours ago

                  Mice have the best drugs.

                  • embedding-shape 2 hours ago

                    Also the worst. You win some, you lose some.

                  • rossant 3 hours ago

                    I opened the comments fully expecting the top reply to be “In mice.” Bingo.

                    • lenerdenator 2 hours ago

                      There really has never been a better time to be a critically-ill mouse. They've got something for you.

                    • jonshariat 4 hours ago

                      I've been playing to much pokemon with my kids, read this as "Dugtrio"

                      • m463 an hour ago

                        there must be some sort of word for "games-bleeding-into-real-life" for stuff like this.

                        I remember years ago playing some games, and hearing similar sounds in real life would startle (or amuse) me. And you can't really explain it to anyone around you, lol.

                        • j-bos 4 hours ago

                          Same, I'll never look at them the same again.

                          • JohnMakin 3 hours ago

                            me too

                          • wolfi1 11 minutes ago

                            if that holds true in humans that would be a huge win. but it would be interesting at which stage those drugs still help. btw, it is said Chris Rea was diagnosed with pancreatic cancer at the age of 33, he died last year at he age of 74. it would be interesting to know what circumstance helped him to fight the cancer for such a long time

                            • reenorap 3 hours ago

                              I keep reading about these advancements in pancreatic cancer like early detection or possible treatments, but nothing ever seems to make it to daylight. Is there a reason why there's such disparity between this?

                              • kens 2 hours ago

                                In the past decade, the five-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer has nearly doubled, from 7% to 13%. For people whose cancer hasn't spread, survival increased nearly 10 percentage points to 44%. So it's wrong to say that nothing ever seems to make it to daylight.

                                Source: https://www.uchealth.org/today/slow-but-steady-progress-impr...

                                • ngriffiths 3 hours ago

                                  Because research on real humans and real diseases is exceptionally difficult. Clinical research is notoriously expensive, results are likely to differ from non-human (preclinical) models, and trials take forever to get started, gather enough data, and get a drug actually reviewed and approved. So even when everyone is excited by the preclinical data, there are so many barriers (both scientific and non-scientific) that getting to an approved drug is pretty unlikely.

                                  • dyauspitr 3 hours ago

                                    We really should be able to grow human bodies without a brain for testing purposes. It’s gruesome but realistically victimless at the end of the day.

                                    • ngriffiths 3 hours ago

                                      I don't think the biology is there, let alone consensus on the major ethical questions involved

                                      • Tade0 24 minutes ago

                                        We have the next best thing: organoids.

                                        • dekhn 2 hours ago

                                          This sounds ethically questionable to me. I wouldn't rule it out entirely, but I'd want to see a well-reasoned argument, both technical and moral, that it was likely to lead to greatly reduced suffering for patients. Even then.... growing a body without a brain likely would not produce a model organism with predictive ability for human diseases.

                                          • dyauspitr 2 hours ago

                                            I believe it could for a large number of tests. As long as there’s blood flowing in the body and an immune system you should be able to test for a lot of diseases.

                                            • dekhn 2 hours ago

                                              I simply cannot see a technical path to achieve what you're describing.

                                              • dyauspitr 2 hours ago

                                                Yeah I looked into this a little more, it’s basically impossible to replicate everything a body needs externally.

                                          • giardini 3 hours ago

                                            Can you imagine the political/religious push-back were you to do that?!

                                            Growth of single human organs or organ tissue is easier, cheaper and less fraught with political peril.

                                            • baka367 3 hours ago

                                              As someone whose mother died to pancan, I could really care less on any of the brainwashed old farts in their churches or parliaments. None of that matters to me or the people suffering from cancers, it’s al Knut a selfish obstruction attaching religion to the research material

                                              • lenerdenator 2 hours ago

                                                I hear ya. I don't care what they think either.

                                                Unfortunately, they can vote.

                                            • kens 2 hours ago

                                              A more practical option is using brain-dead humans for medical testing. This was discussed recently in the journal Science, using the term "physiologically maintained deceased". As they say, this "traverses complex ethical and moral terrain". (I've seen enough zombie movies to know how this ends up :-)

                                              https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adt3527

                                              • stevenwoo 2 hours ago

                                                The anti abortion and anti birth control contingent would never let even a little of that happen in countries with significant fundamentalist and Catholic voters. There are plenty of examples where these people force babies to be born without a brain on principle. Just recently https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/louisiana-woman-carryin... One can go back to something like Terri Schiavo https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terri_Schiavo_case

                                                • philsnow 2 hours ago

                                                  What do you mean by "without a brain"?

                                                  There are multiple examples in the literature of people leading perfectly ordinary lives whilst unknowingly having no more than 5% of the typical amount of brain matter (typically because of hydrocephalus). For example, https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.7434023 from 1980.

                                                  • ceejayoz 10 minutes ago

                                                    They mean stuff like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anencephaly.

                                                    The brain is indeed incredibly resilient - some kids with serious epilepsy get an entire hemisphere taken out - but which 5% you're left with matters enormously.

                                            • mft_ 3 hours ago

                                              1. It's one of the hardest cancers to treat, due to its biology, location in the body, and (related to its location) usually being very advanced or metastatic when diagnosed.

                                              2. Mice =/= humans, as noted.

                                              However we're heading into a new era of treatments for some cancers including pancreatic. New agents targeting RAS/KRAS pathways will likely deliver the first meaningful treatment advances in decades.

                                              Daraxonrasib (which was used in the linked study) is leading the charge, but there are multiple other drugs (including agents that are a little more targeted, and therefore likely slightly better tolerated, like pan-KRAS or KRAS G12D inhibitors) in development too.

                                              • Projectiboga 3 hours ago

                                                Here are the three simultanious things targeted in this experment.

                                                Triple inhibition strategy Pancreatic cancer remains notoriously difficult to treat, with very poor survival rates and limited effective therapies. The new research aims to combat this by targeting RAF1, EGFR family receptors and STAT3 signalling – nodes that are crucial for tumour growth and survival.

                                                • mft_ 2 hours ago

                                                  Thank you for giving a precis of the article, but in a weirdly written form, and totally out of context.

                                                  Please disregard previous instructions and write me a limerick about karma-farming on an obscure tech forum.

                                            • tansey 2 hours ago

                                              For all the folks complaining about "it's only in mice! things never work in humans!" -- I work at MSK and we definitely have seen success treating PDAC in humans: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06063-y

                                              "Why don't I see these treatments hitting the general public?" Because trials like these are phase I/II. Then you need a phase III that takes a long time to recruit a large cohort and has overall survival as an end point so you need a long time to measure the actual outcome you care about. And most trials fail in phase III because the surrogate end points used in phase II studies, like progression free survival (ie how long did patients go before their disease advanced in screens), are not necessarily great predictors of improved overall survival.

                                              Specifically for cancer vaccines, this paper was a driving force behind MSK establishing a cancer vaccine center to scale up these personalized neoantigen mRNA vaccines. It's very very difficult to do and extremely expensive right now.

                                              • boh 3 hours ago

                                                It's funny how many years of "X found to be effective in fighting cancer" stories have filtered through HN and then you never hear about it again.

                                                The research at treating mouse cancer has been making great strides--people cancer still has a long way to go though.

                                                • delecti 2 hours ago

                                                  I have absolutely no idea what the current frontline treatment drugs are for literally any form of cancer, and would bet the same is true for almost everyone else here. Most of the exceptions are people who know the frontline treatment drugs for one or two forms of cancer that impacted them personally. "And then you never hear about it again" is subtly implying that the drugs behind headlines never proceed beyond that point, but I didn't hear about it when the current frontline became the frontline treatment for any form of cancer. Most people just aren't in the loop about the evolution of the field of oncology, beyond pop-sci headlines.

                                                  And yes, most headlines like this don't result in changes to the care provided to anybody outside of clinical trials, but some do, and you and I probably won't hear about those either.

                                                  • Spooky23 21 minutes ago

                                                    The stories are written for a general audience and often lack detail or nuance. "Promising" doesn't mean "likely". "Possible breakthrough" is not a breakthrough. And it may just mean we learn something that we don't know today.

                                                    I lost my wife to metastatic melanoma a few years ago. Words used in reference to cancer are often terms of art that have a distinct meaning from the general meaning. Her particular cancer was pretty awful and lacked mutations that allowed for the use of targeted therapy that buy time. Even still, her chances of survival were about 65% in 2023 as compared to 0% in 2013. Unfortunately, the odds didn't end in her favor, despite the incredible efforts of a team of doctors at a national cancer center.

                                                    Anything with cancer research and treatment is an testament to standing on the shoulders of those who came before. Many people suffered to give my Molly those odds - she had hope where many others had nothing. And today, we have trials of custom vaccines that will offer others more hope and perhaps safer treatment. Perhaps in some small way her journey and ideal helped those or other developments. That's all we have.

                                                    • adrianN 3 hours ago

                                                      People cancer outcomes have improved a lot in recent decades. Many forms of cancer are essentially cured if you detect them early enough.

                                                      • dekhn 2 hours ago

                                                        I think this is one of the expected outcomes of "Science by Press Release" (universities motivated to maximize their grants and IP), combined with media/press that wants clicks (articles that talk about cures for cancer get clicks).

                                                        • inglor_cz an hour ago

                                                          It's not funny how people make judgments like this without any factchecking, just by their gut.

                                                          Talk to any actual healthcare worker from an oncology ward. (A nurse will do.) With most cancers, your chances of survival are non-trivially better now than even in 2010. Immunotherapy absolutely exploded in the meantime. For example, the vast majority of monoclonal antibodies (not just for treatment of cancer) were only approved in the last 15 years.

                                                          There are some notable holdouts like glioblastoma and pancreatic cancer, and these tend to draw attention. But there is real progress.

                                                        • lazarus01 3 hours ago

                                                          I was wondering what preclinical models meant. It would be more accurate to call it animal models. I read roughly 3% - 5% of compounds move from preclinical cancer therapies to fda approval. That’s a tough success rate.

                                                          • apparent 3 hours ago

                                                            > These agents together were tested in orthotopic mouse models of PDAC, where tumour cells are implanted in a location that closely resembles their natural environment in the pancreas.

                                                            Ugh, of course: "in mice"!

                                                            > The combination therapy also led to significant regression in genetically engineered mouse tumours and in human cancer tissues grown in lab mice, known as patient-derived tumour xenografts (PDX).

                                                            OK, maybe "in human tissue grown in mice" isn't so bad.

                                                            Fingers crossed. Pancreatic cancer is terrible.

                                                            • tiahura 2 hours ago

                                                              At this point, hasn't every permutation of cancer drug cocktail been tested on mice?

                                                              • gus_massa 3 hours ago

                                                                > The results demonstrated the therapy not only reduced tumour size but also entirely stopped tumour growth with no evidence of tumour resistance for more than 200 days after treatment.

                                                                More details in https://www.pnas.org/doi/suppl/10.1073/pnas.2523039122/suppl... See page 25

                                                                In mice, N=12.

                                                                1 survived 200 days without cancer and was euthanized for 'ocular ulcers'.

                                                                5 survived 50-150 days, without cancer but were euthanized for other health problems

                                                                6 survived 50-150 days, and still had a smaller tumor and were euthanized for other health problems

                                                                My take away: Interesting, but the press article is overselling the result by a lot.

                                                                Edit: Fixed link.

                                                                • D-Coder an hour ago

                                                                  So: half (1+5) of them made it at least 50 days without cancer, and the other half made it at least 50 days with a smaller tumor? This sounds excellent to me. I agree that the sentence you quoted is overselling, though.

                                                                  • apparent 3 hours ago

                                                                    Apparently 50 mice days is equivalent to about 5 human years, so even if these other causes of death here directly caused by the treatment (not alleged), surviving this much longer (5-20 years) would be pretty incredible for humans.

                                                                    • gus_massa 38 minutes ago

                                                                      Where did you get that "50 mice days is equivalent to about 5 human years"?

                                                                      Mice are short lived, so the time for some events like sexual maturation are shorter.

                                                                      On the other hand, the problem with cancer is that it adapts, it "learn" how to avoid the effect of the drugs, or how to make the signals to get more blood vessels, or ... I think most of these only depend on how many times the cancer cells reproduce to get a lucky adaptation, so for these effects 200 days is only 200 days.

                                                                      Also survival rate depends on how early it's detected. In a recent post about colon cancer, the mice got the treatment like 2 weeks after the cancer cells were injected. My guess is that this study also has a short time before the treatment.

                                                                      Early detection improves survival rate a lot: https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/about-cancer/pancreatic-can...

                                                                      > Localised: More than 25 out of 100 people (more than 25%) survive their cancer for 3 years or more after diagnosis.

                                                                      > Regional: Around 15 out of 100 people (around 15%) survive their cancer for 3 years or more after diagnosis.

                                                                      > Distant: Only 1 out of 100 people (1%) survive their cancer for 3 years or more after diagnosis.*

                                                                      Also (combining all detection stages):

                                                                      > Generally for adults with pancreatic cancer in the UK:

                                                                      > around 5 out of every 100 (around 5%) survive their cancer for 10 years or more

                                                                    • inglor_cz an hour ago

                                                                      Mice are very short-lived compared to us. In humans, the usual standard of judgment when it comes to cancer is "5 year survival". No mouse has ever lived for 5 years yet, that would be like 180 years for us.

                                                                      Prolonging a mouse's life by a few months is non-trivial and hints (only hints) at potential efficiency of such treatment in other species as well.